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Extra resources for Investing From The Top Down A Macro Approach To Capital Markets
On the receiving end have been emerging economies such as those in Eastern Europe, which in the second quarter of 2007 received about $50 billion in new cross-border deposits, roughly half of all new net deposits into emerging economies. Countries in the Baltic states and southeastern Europe have been the biggest recipients within Europe. Bulgaria and Romania have seen particularly large flows, probably because of their recent ascension into the European Union. For top-down investors these data yield important clues about where it is that they should consider putting their money.
2. The 1998 Asian financial crisis reflected growing pains that would subside for a while, but like anything it has had its ups and downs. In early 2008 one of the least appealing aspects of the increased interconnectivity that exists among global markets surfaced again, with markets swooning across the globe in one of the worst Januarys on record—and all because a couple of million people did not pay their mortgages on time! S. mortgage dilemma affecting the world’s 6 billion inhabitants for long, but the impact was stark.
Take it from me. I learned firsthand how powerful this influence would turn out to be. I purchased my first home in 1989—right on target at age 25. There were a lot of people like me—those of us born in 1964, but I had no idea how few of me—those turning age 25—there would be in the several years that followed my home purchase. Had I only known then what I know now! If I did, I would have recognized that the many problems facing the housing market at that time would take a very long time to dissipate, owing partly to unfavorable demographics.