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By Thomas A. Petrie

Fluctuations in provide and insist, thoughts in know-how, and altering laws have dramatically replaced the oil and gasoline industries in recent times. This lawsuits explains the adjustments and explores their implications for the paintings of analysts and different funding execs.

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Mayer: The response has been mixed. Chevron, which came out in the middle of the pack, invited me to give a presentation to its exploration and production people. Phillips, which ranked third, requested 200 copies to distribute to its staff. With British Petroleum, which came out on the bottom two years in a row, I had revealed the results to company management in advance and asked if I had made any mistakes or had any intellectual or conceptual problems. They told me I hadn't, and a few weeks later, they took some big write-offs and cut the dividend in half.

Figure 6 compares the total returns on Amoco and the S&P 500 since 1972. The big move in Amoco stock did not come until seven years after purchase. The next big move came in 1986, about 14 years after purchase, and another move occurred in 1989-90, 18 years after purchase. This phenomenon is not a quarterly pattern! Figure 6. Monthly Cumulative Total Returns of $1,000 Investment-Amoco versus the S&PSOO Analysts and investors have experienced much trauma since 1972, but in the end, the market has rewarded those with patience and a commitment to long-term investing.

S. s. , Inc. equal. They are not. Some oil is more expensive to produce than other oil; some oil sells for less; some oil is burdened by higher taxes. As a result, replacement ratios and development costs can be misused in an analysis. For example, compare Royal Dutch/Shell and Exxon, two very well-managed companies. According to the reserve replacement ratios in Table 5, Royal Dutch/Shell performed well in each of the last three five-year periods. During the most recent five-year period, it replaced 171 percent of what it produced.

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